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President Donald Trump's first four years in the White House sparked dramatic shifts in diplomacy in Northeast Asia, including historic summits with North Korea's Kim Jong-un, protracted military negotiations with South Korea and rising strategic competition with China.
What could the next four years look like for Asia if he is re-elected?
But, more importantly, what changes and challenges might we anticipate if former Vice President Joseph Biden wins the race in the coming hours?
Joining us live from New York is Dr. Stephen Noerper, Senior Director of Korea Society
What can we expect for South Korea under a new Biden administration in terms of the U.S.-South Korea alliance? Do you think a Biden administration would seek to quickly conclude the prolonged defense cost-sharing deal at a much lower rate of increase? Would a Trump re-election lead South Korea to pay what he demands? What about the transfer of wartime operational control by 2022?
South Korea is under pressure at the moment to choose a side in the power struggle between the U.S. and China, it appears. Do you think a Biden administration will follow the same path that President Trump did? Should Trump win re-election, would South Korea face more pressure to join its anti-China coalition, including the QUAD?
What about North Korea? How do you expect the North Korean nuclear issue to develop? Is North Korea's denuclearization more feasible in the event of a Trump re-election or a Biden election?
If Joe Biden becomes the victor of the U.S. election, North Korea isn't as much a priority than it has been for the Trump administration.
By the time Biden gets to North Korea, which some analysts see to be up to 6 months into his term, but North Korea may not wait that long and may take some sort of action...
What are your thoughts?
Dr. Stephen Noerper, Senior Director of Korea Society, many thanks as always for your valuable insights. We appreciate it.